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City Cement Q4 2025: What to expect?
AI Summary
Content Summary: 
In this report, Argaam highlights the expected financial results of City Cement Co. for the fourth quarter of 2025, in addition to its key events, quarterly revenue and profit, as well as performance, and profit indicators.
The fourth-quarter revenue is projected to drop 18.38% year-on-year (YoY) to SAR 130.28 million.
Quarter Revenue Changes (M Riyal)
| Item | Q4 2024 |
Q1 2025 |
Q2 2025 |
Q3 2025 |
Q4 2025 (Average Estimate) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 159.62 | 149.27 | 139.49 | 96.49 | 130.28 |
| Change % | 60.02% | 24.57% | 25.35% | (25.84%) | (18.38%) |
| Income from Affiliate | (0.43) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.09) | NA |
| Change % | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Quarter Net Income Changes (M Riyal)
| Item | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 (Average Estimate) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income | 41.09 | 51.54 | 36.38 | 8.75 | 21.73 |
| Extraordinary income/expense | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| Net Profit Before Unusual Items | 41.09 | 51.54 | 36.38 | 8.75 | - |
| EPS Before Unusual Items (Riyal/Share) | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.26 | 0.06 | 0.16 |
Key events in Q4 2025
City Cement announced the expiry of the required period to fulfill the terms of the implementation agreement with Umm Al-Qura Cement Co., without the required conditions being met or the necessary procedures completed to finalize the deal, and without reaching an agreement regarding an extension of the implementation agreement's duration.
Quarterly Profit and Revenue (M Riyal)
Monthly data indicated a 6.5% YoY fall in the company’s sales volumes during Q4 2025, approaching 774,000 tons versus 828,000 tons in the same period a year earlier. Meanwhile, sales volumes rose 20.6% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ).
Total quarterly sales - thousand tons
| Q4 - 2025 | Q4 - 2024 | Change (%) | Q3 - 2025 | Change (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cement Sales | 774.00 | 828.00 | (6.52 %) | 642.00 | 20.56 % |
Average forecasts
City Cement’s Q4 2025 net profit is set to reach SAR 21.7 million, sliding 47.1% from SAR 41.1 million in Q4 2024, according to average estimates issued by four research houses.
Quarterly Actuals vs Estimates (M Riyal)
Average Estimate (M Riyal)
| Analyst | Million Riyals |
|---|---|
| AlJazira Capital Company | 34.80 |
| United Securities Company | 22.00 |
| SICO Bank | 18.80 |
| U-Capital Co. | 11.30 |
| Average | 21.73 |
| Net Profit Before Unusual Items (2024 - Q4) | 41.09 |
| Change % | (47.13%) |
Performance and profitability indicators
The following table shows the stock performance, P/E ratio, and earnings per share trailing 12 months (TTM) and year to date (YTD):
Stock Performance
| Item | The Company | TASI |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 6.03 % | 6.13 % |
| Change(12M) | (35.41 %) | (10.21 %) |
| Previous Close | 13.40 | 11,216.93 |
| Recurring P/E (x) | 13.59 | 20.30 |
| EPS (TTM) before unusual items (SAR/Share) | 0.98 | - |
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Valuation Data (Latest Share Price)
| P/E (TTM) | 13.59 |
| P/E Before Unusual Items (TTM) | 13.59 |
| P/BV | 1.04 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.75 % |
| Market Cap. (M) | 1,871.80 |
| Return on Average Assets | 7.36 % |
| Return on Average Equity | 7.75 % |
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