SICO issues Q1 earnings estimates; Al Rajhi to gain 9%

01/04/2018 Argaam

 

Bahrain-based SICO Investment Bank on Sunday released its first-quarter net profit forecasts for the Tadawul-listed Saudi firms under its coverage.

 

Saudi banks are expected to continue reporting weak balance sheet performance; however, they will benefit from net interest margin (NIM) expansion, SICO said.

 

Al Rajhi Bank and Alinma Bank are expected to report higher profit growth, at 9 percent and 19 percent year-on-year (YoY) to SAR 2.4 billion and SAR 502 million, respectively, in Q1 2018.

 

The National Commercial Bank (NCB) will likely see its net profit decline by 10 percent YoY.

 

Petrochemical heavyweight Saudi Basic Industries Corp.’s (SABIC) earnings in Q1 2018 are expected to edge up 5 percent YoY to SAR 5.5 billion.

 

National Industrialization Co. (Tasnee) will likely see a 181 percent YoY jump in Q1 net profit – making it the top gainer in the sector.

 

Saudi Industrial Investment Group (SIIG) is forecast to see a drop of 44 percent in Q1 earnings.

 

SICO expects Saudi Telecom Co.’s (STC) net income to slip 1 percent YoY to SAR 2.5 billion.

 

Cement firms under coverage will see mixed fortunes, with Yanbu Cement’s earnings projected to slump 55 percent YoY while Arabian Cement is expected to climb 41 percent.

 

Net profit of Saudi Arabian Mining Co. (Maaden) is likely to soar, led by price recovery in Maaden's entire commodity basket, SICO said.

 

Food and beverage firm Almarai is expected to see a 7 percent dip in first quarter earnings.

 

Among healthcare firms, National Medical Care Co. is forecast to report the biggest profit gain at 103 percent YoY among peers, while Middle East Healthcare Co. is expected to see a YoY decline of 25 percent.

 

SICO Q1 Forecasts  (SAR mln)

Company

Q1 18 Estimates (SAR mln)

YoY Variation

Banks

Al Rajhi

2,416

+9%

Alinma

502

+19%

ANB

756

(2%)

BSF

919

(17%)

NCB

2,438

(10%)

Riyad

992

(5%)

Samba

1,320

+7%

SABB

995

(4%)

Petrochemicals Sector

SABIC

5,517

+5%

Tasnee

290

+181%

Yansab

772

+27%

Sipchem

173

+89%

Advanced

100

(20%)

Alujain

25

(15%)

SAFCO

368

(13%)

Kayan

407

+53%

SIIG

172

(44%)

Petrochem

279

+66%

Telecommunications

STC

2,500

(1%)

Mobily

(194)

--

Cement Sector

Yanbu Cement

66

(47%)

Yamama Cement

22

(57%)

Arabian Cement

62

(39%)

Saudi Cement

157

(5%)

Southern Cement

79

(24%)

Qassim Cement

69

(14%)

Industrial & Utilities Sector

Maaden

399

+45%

Yamamah Steel

12

(75%)

MEPCO

28

+736%

Energy Sector

SEC

(1,542)

--

Transport Sector

SGS

121

(22%)

Healthcare Sector

Care

31

+103%

Mouwasat

93

+9%

Dallah Healthcare

71

(17%)

Al Hammadi

30

+8%

MEAHCO

78

(25%)

Consumer

Almarai

304

(7%)

Al Othaim

72

(20%)

Jarir

226

+2%

Herfy

43

(18%)

 

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