Savola’s profit expected to drop in Q1 2023

08/05/2023 Argaam Exclusive

In this report, Argaam highlights the expected results of Savola Group for the first quarter of 2023, its key events, quarterly sales and profit, as well as its performance and profitability indicators.

 

The first-quarter revenue is anticipated to fall 1.74% year-on-year (YoY) to SAR 7.35 billion. 

Quarter Revenue Changes (M Riyal)

Item Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
(Average Estimate)
Sales 7,489.351 6,888.305 7,072.405 6,604.642 7,359.000
Change % 25.796% 16.732% 16.929% (2.230%) (1.740%)
Income from Affiliate 195.976 196.704 170.706 97.195 NA
Change % 52.547% 14.507% 14.563% (9.844%) NA

Quarter Net Income Changes (M Riyal)

Item Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
(Average Estimate)
Net Income 270.89 213.75 163.64 94.47 201.00
Extraordinary income/expense 0.00 0.00 0.00 107.03 -
Net Profit Before Unusual Items 270.89 213.75 163.64 (12.56) -
EPS Before Unusual Items (Riyal/Share) 0.51 0.40 0.31 (0.02) 0.38

Key events in Q1 2023

 

The company announced plans to repurchase 2.5 million treasury shares, to be allocated for the long-term employee stock incentive plan. The current percentage of the firm’s treasury shares of total target shares stands at 0.25%.

 

The board of directors recommended a 6.6% cash dividend, or SAR 0.66 a share, for 2022.

Quarterly Profit and Revenue (M Riyal)

Average estimates

 

Savola is forecast to post SAR 201 million net earnings for Q1 2023, a decline of 25.8% compared to the same quarter of 2022, according to median estimates by two research houses.

Quarterly Actuals vs Estimates (M Riyal)

Average Estimate (M Riyal)

Analyst Million Riyals
Al Rajhi Capital Company 265.00
SNB Capital Company 137.00
Average 201.00
Net Profit Before Unusual Items (2022 - Q1) 270.89
Change % (25.80%)

Performance and profitability indicators

 

The following table illustrates the stock performance, P/E ratio and earnings per share (EPS) trailing 12 months (TTM) and year to date.

P/E (TTM)

Stock Performance

Item The Company TASI
YTD 22.30 % 6.73 %
Change(12M) 37.54 % (18.55 %)
Previous Close 32.90 11,256.39
P/E adjusted (x) 23.77 21.59
EPS (TTM) before unusual items (SAR/Share) 1.19 -
45.80
(1.55) (3.27 %)

Valuation Data (Latest Share Price)

P/E (TTM) 28.60
P/E Before Unusual Items (TTM) 32.92
P/BV 2.89
Dividend Yield 0.00 %
Market Cap. (M) 24,456.31
Return on Average Assets 2.83 %
Return on Average Equity 10.08 %
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