Aljazira Capital adopts muted outlook for cement firms in Q4

20/12/2016 Argaam

Although Aljazira Capital expects cement firms under its coverage to show an increase in Q4 sales when compared to the previous quarter, the sector’s profitability is likely to remain subdued, it said.

The slowdown is seen to extend to 2017 based on the weak outlook for the construction sector on the back of tight liquidity position and the government’s effort to prioritize its project pipeline to improve its efficiency.

“We expect the sector to show recovery over 2018 and into 2019 along with improvement in crude oil prices,” the report said.

Also, inventory levels are expected to remain high as a result of there being no immediate impact from lifting the export ban on cement producers, putting further pressure on prices.

Aljazira Capital Q4 Profit Estimates (SAR mln)

Company

Q4-2016 Estimates

Y-o-Y Variation

Yamama Cement

119.5

(34%)

Saudi Cement

210.7

+17%

Southern Province

191.9

(36%)

Qassim Cement

101.1

(28%)

Arabian Cement

119.8

(24%)

Yanbu Cement

172.5

(17%)

Najran Cement

27.4

(49%)

Hail Cement

27.8

(7%)

City Cement

47.5

(21%)

Eastern Province

54.3

(41%)

Northern Cement

29.8

(25%)

Tabuk Cement

14.8

(34%)

Al Jouf Cement

9.7

+36%


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