Albilad Cap issues Q1 profit estimates; SABIC seen up 50%

05/04/2017 Argaam

Albilad Capital on Wednesday issued its first quarter 2017 earnings estimates for Saudi-listed companies under its coverage.

Total profit of the banking sector is expected to see only a slight growth of 2.6 percent year-on-year (YoY), as growth of deposits and loans in Q1 slowed down.

Al Rajhi Bank is expected to see a 6 percent YoY rise in profit for Q1, while Aljazira Bank’s earnings will likely drop by 63 percent YoY.

Petrochemical prices have marginally improved in Q1 compared to the previous quarter due to higher oil prices. Meanwhile, fertilizer prices spiked compared to the previous and corresponding quarters.

Saudi Basic Industries Corp’s (SABIC) net profit is expected to jump 50 percent YoY to around SAR 5.1 billion in Q1 2017.

The telecommunications sector will likely see lower revenue.

“As higher tariffs were applied in Q1 2016, the top line is awaited to tumble in Q1 2017 especially for STC and Mobily. The results will also reflect the slowdown in telecom market,” the report said.

Meanwhile, Mobily and Zain is likely to benefit in Q1 from reduced license amortization charges following the extension of their licenses in Q3 2016.

Cement companies are expected to experience a 22 percent YoY drop in sales to about 13.3 million tons in Q1 2017, as sales fell 20 percent in January and February to 8.9 million tons due to lower demand compared to 2016, while clinker inventory reached a record-high 28.8 million tons by Feb. 2017.

The retail sector is expected to suffer in Q1 due to government decisions in H2 2016 to curb financial benefits for state employees, in addition to the planned fees for expat families.

Albilad Capital profit estimates

Company

Q1-2017 estimates (SAR mln)

YoY change

Banks

Bank AlJazira

142

(64%)

Al Rajhi Bank

2,137

+6%

Alinma Bank

430

+10%

Petrochemicals

SABIC

5,098

+50%

SAFCO

353

+24%

Yansab

626

+56%

Advanced

166

+14%

Cement

Yamama Cement

49

(67%)

Saudi Cement

163

(39%)

Yanbu Cement

92

(50%)

Retail

Al-Othaim

57

+20%

Mouwasat

75

+6%

eXtra

15

--

Jarir

188

+8%

Healthcare

Dallah

66

+14%

CARE

27

(18%)

Al Hammadi

27

+25%

Food & Agriculture

Farm Superstores

24

(4%)

Savola

104

+12%

Almarai

356

+15%

Herfy

56

+4%

Saudi Catering

132

(7%)

Nadec

25

(2%)

Telecom

STC

2,202

(7%)

Mobily

(138)

--

Zain Saudi

(106)

(57%)

Others

Maaden

85

+441%

Bahri

295

(10%)


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