Arbah Capital issues Q2 profit forecasts for Saudi firms

04/07/2018 Argaam

Arbah Capital issued Q2 2018 earnings forecast for a number of Tadawul-listed companies.

In the healthcare sector, Al Hammadi Company for Development and Investment Co. is forecast to generate SAR 28.8 million in earnings, up by 12.2 percent year-on-year (YoY), but down 6.7 percent quarter-on-quarter (QoQ), boosted by bed capacity expansion at Nozha hospital.

Mouwasat Medical Services Co. and Middle East Healthcare Co. (Saudi German Hospital) are estimated to report a profit rise of 8.3 percent and 42.7 percent YoY to SAR 82.7 million and SAR 81.5 million respectively.

The net income of National Medical Care Co. (Care) and Dallah Healthcare Co. (Dallah) is set to rise by 27.7 percent and 8.3 percent YoY in Q2 2018.

In the retail sector, Savola Group’s Q2 profit is forecast to plunge by 77.3 percent YoY to SAR 52.0 million. Also, Almarai Co. is set to report SAR 546.7 million in net profit in Q2 2018, 18.9 percent lower YoY.

Elsewhere, Aldrees Petroleum & Transport Services’ earnings are projected to increase by 22.5 percent YoY, but drop 10.5 percent QoQ to SAR 22.0 million on higher sales volumes.

Saudi Marketing Co. (Farm Superstores) is seen to make SAR 10.5 million in net profit, down by 48.4 percent YoY and 13.4 percent QoQ, on higher operating expenses.

Saudi Ground Services’ second-quarter profit is forecasted to retreat by 11.0 percent YoY to SAR 108.8 million.

Herfy Food Services (Herfy) is estimated to generate SAR 42.5 million earnings, down by 2.1 percent YoY, over expected lower sales of the restaurants sector.

Al Hokair Group’s Q2 profit is expected to fall 47.4 percent YoY and 203.7 percent QoQ to SAR 7.8 million, due to weak performance of hotels segment.

 Arbah Capital’s Q2 Profit Estimates (SAR mln)

Company

Q2 forecasts

YoY change

Healthcare

Al Hammadi

28.8

+12%

Care

24.9

+28%

Mouwasat

82.7

+8%

MEAHCO

81.5

+43%

Dallah

62.9

+8%

Food Production

NADEC

6.9

(73%)

Savola

52.0

(77%)

Almarai

546.7

(19%)

SADAFCO

63.5

(18%)

Other Sectors

Catering

130.3

(10%)

Aldrees

22.0

+23%

Farm Superstores

10.5

(48%)

MEPCO

23.1

+27%

Al Yamamah Steel

8.0

(54%)

SGS

108.8

(11%)

Herfy

42.5

(2%)

Alhokair Group

7.8

(47%)

SACO

31.2

(23%)

Alhokair*

45.0

(81%)

Electrical Industries

15.1

+2%

*Q1 ended in June

** Q3 ended June

Arbah Capital also recommended an overweight rating on Al Hammadi, Saudi German Hospitals, Dallah, and Aldrees. Meanwhile, a neutral rating was assigned to Care, Mouwasat, Savola, Almarai, Herfy, and Farm Superstores.

 Arbah Capital’s Profit Recommendations

Company

Recommendation

Target Price

Al Hammadi

Overweight

38.00

Care

Neutral

65.00

Mouwasat

Neutral

100.00

MEAHCO

Overweight

74.00

Dallah

Overweight

115.00

NADEC

Neutral

38.00

Savola

Neutral

43.00

Almarai

Neutral

63.00

SADAFCO

Neutral

110.00

Catering

Neutral

96.00

Aldrees

Overweight

32.00

Farm Superstores

Neutral

26.00

MEPCO

Overweight

29.00

Al Yamamah Steel

Overweight

25.00

SGS

Neutral

38.00

Herfy

Neutral

48.00

Alhokair Group

Neutral

25.00

SACO

Neutral

110.00

Alhokair*

Overweight

32.00

Electrical Industries

Neutral

24.00


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