SAFCO’s net profit falls 56% in 9M 2016

17/10/2016 Argaam Exclusive

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Saudi Arabian Fertilizers Co. (SAFCO), one of the world’s largest urea producers, reported a net profit of SAR 766.7 million in the first nine months of 2016, a 56 percent year-on-year (YoY) decline which was attributed to lower selling prices for the company's products, higher feedstock and energy costs.

Financials (M)

Item	9m 2015	9m 2016	Change‬
Revenues	2,733.60	2,090.61	(23.5 %)
Gross Income	1,724.75	977.13	(43.3 %)
Operating Income	1,671.52	722.17	(56.8 %)
Net Income	1,751.88	767.55	(56.2 %)
Average Shares	416.67	416.67	-
EPS (Riyals)	4.20	1.84	(56.2 %)

SAFCO’s net profit for the third quarter fell 68 percent YoY to SAR 181.4 million due to lower selling prices and a decline in the company’s profit share in Ibn Al-Baytar. Profit for the period was 39 percent lower compared with the previous quarter.

Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The

Item	Q3 2015	Q3 2016	Change‬
Revenues	887.43	689.53	(22.3 %)
Gross Income	567.64	293.49	(48.3 %)
Operating Income	551.33	202.67	(63.2 %)
Net Income	566.15	186.22	(67.1 %)
Average Shares	416.67	416.67	-
EPS (Riyals)	1.36	0.45	(67.1 %)

Item	Q2 2016	Q3 2016	Change‬
Revenues	709.85	689.53	(2.9 %)
Gross Income	329.53	293.49	(10.9 %)
Operating Income	261.31	202.67	(22.4 %)
Net Income	302.32	186.22	(38.4 %)
Average Shares	416.67	416.67	-
EPS (Riyals)	0.73	0.45	(38.4 %)

Financial results (Million)

Period	Revenues	Change	Gross Income	Change	Net Income	Change	EPS(Riyal)
Q1 2007	521.50	18.4 %	311.18	26.0 %	319.79	16.1 %	0.77
Q2 2007	815.13	75.8 %	569.75	101.4 %	530.32	82.9 %	1.27
Q3 2007	1,013.15	142.9 %	648.51	167.4 %	616.17	127.1 %	1.48
Q4 2007	1,046.02	105.1 %	783.30	146.3 %	741.58	135.8 %	1.78
2007	3,104.72	69.5 %	2,288.78	109.9 %	2,209.23	91.9 %	5.30
Q1 2008	825.44	58.3 %	643.92	106.9 %	723.38	126.2 %	1.74
Q2 2008	1,347.23	65.3 %	1,101.60	93.3 %	1,190.94	124.6 %	2.86
Q3 2008	2,202.95	117.4 %	1,920.32	196.1 %	1,821.92	195.7 %	4.37
Q4 2008	976.32	(6.7 %)	659.83	(15.8 %)	535.86	(27.7 %)	1.29
2008	5,235.76	68.6 %	4,340.66	89.6 %	4,279.79	93.7 %	10.27
Q1 2009	739.47	(10.4 %)	452.74	(29.7 %)	524.53	(27.5 %)	1.26
Q2 2009	685.74	(49.1 %)	456.16	(58.6 %)	480.35	(59.7 %)	1.15
Q3 2009	714.39	(67.6 %)	450.72	(76.5 %)	464.15	(74.5 %)	1.11
Q4 2009	601.11	(38.4 %)	358.75	(45.6 %)	335.26	(37.4 %)	0.80
2009	2,740.71	(47.7 %)	1,709.75	(60.6 %)	1,804.29	(57.8 %)	4.33
Q1 2010	863.79	16.8 %	642.97	42.0 %	698.26	33.1 %	1.68
Q2 2010	732.66	6.8 %	578.93	26.9 %	907.20	88.9 %	2.18
Q3 2010	890.73	24.7 %	549.99	22.0 %	603.82	30.1 %	1.45
Q4 2010	1,302.29	116.6 %	918.08	155.9 %	1,025.34	205.8 %	2.46
2010	3,789.47	38.3 %	2,689.96	57.3 %	3,234.62	79.3 %	7.76
Q1 2011	1,037.85	20.1 %	775.20	20.6 %	832.63	19.2 %	2.00
Q2 2011	1,129.51	54.2 %	778.07	34.4 %	789.93	(12.9 %)	1.90
Q3 2011	1,378.89	54.8 %	1,083.97	97.1 %	1,210.58	100.5 %	2.91
Q4 2011	1,504.99	15.6 %	1,128.01	22.9 %	1,276.63	24.5 %	3.06
2011	5,051.24	33.3 %	3,765.26	40.0 %	4,109.76	27.1 %	9.86
Q1 2012	1,061.50	2.3 %	753.60	(2.8 %)	786.91	(5.5 %)	1.89
Q2 2012	1,115.96	(1.2 %)	743.75	(4.4 %)	783.93	(0.8 %)	1.88
Q3 2012	1,398.10	1.4 %	1,063.56	(1.9 %)	1,149.00	(5.1 %)	2.76
Q4 2012	1,404.84	(6.7 %)	1,047.40	(7.1 %)	1,146.38	(10.2 %)	2.75
2012	4,980.40	(1.4 %)	3,608.31	(4.2 %)	3,866.22	(5.9 %)	9.28
Q1 2013	1,177.76	11.0 %	852.82	13.2 %	931.59	18.4 %	2.24
Q2 2013	982.88	(11.9 %)	651.93	(12.3 %)	692.88	(11.6 %)	1.66
Q3 2013	1,071.88	(23.3 %)	695.40	(34.6 %)	734.01	(36.1 %)	1.76
Q4 2013	1,007.88	(28.3 %)	678.47	(35.2 %)	802.00	(30.0 %)	1.92
2013	4,240.40	(14.9 %)	2,878.62	(20.2 %)	3,160.48	(18.3 %)	7.59
Q1 2014	1,178.36	0.1 %	819.80	(3.9 %)	842.50	(9.6 %)	2.02
Q2 2014	935.77	(4.8 %)	602.24	(7.6 %)	638.99	(7.8 %)	1.53
Q3 2014	1,248.62	16.5 %	890.35	28.0 %	913.37	24.4 %	2.19
Q4 2014	1,093.39	8.5 %	754.48	11.2 %	779.18	(2.8 %)	1.87
2014	4,456.13	5.1 %	3,072.42	6.7 %	3,174.04	0.4 %	7.62
Q1 2015	962.42	(18.3 %)	603.11	(26.4 %)	589.98	(30.0 %)	1.42
Q2 2015	883.75	(5.6 %)	553.99	(8.0 %)	595.76	(6.8 %)	1.43
Q3 2015	887.43	(28.9 %)	567.64	(36.2 %)	566.15	(38.0 %)	1.36
Q4 2015	813.67	(25.6 %)	360.31	(52.2 %)	378.55	(51.4 %)	0.91
2015	3,547.27	(20.4 %)	2,085.05	(32.1 %)	2,130.43	(32.9 %)	5.11
Q1 2016	691.23	(28.2 %)	354.12	(41.3 %)	279.01	(52.7 %)	0.67
Q2 2016	709.85	(19.7 %)	329.53	(40.5 %)	302.32	(49.3 %)	0.73
Q3 2016	689.53	(22.3 %)	293.49	(48.3 %)	186.22	(67.1 %)	0.45

Period	Revenues	Change	Gross Income	Change	Net Income	Change	EPS(Riyal)
2006	1,831.25	0.4 %	1,090.25	1.5 %	1,151.32	4.7 %	2.76
2007	3,104.72	69.5 %	2,288.78	109.9 %	2,209.23	91.9 %	5.30
2008	5,235.76	68.6 %	4,340.66	89.6 %	4,279.79	93.7 %	10.27
2009	2,740.71	(47.7 %)	1,709.75	(60.6 %)	1,804.29	(57.8 %)	4.33
2010	3,789.47	38.3 %	2,689.96	57.3 %	3,234.62	79.3 %	7.76
2011	5,051.24	33.3 %	3,765.26	40.0 %	4,109.76	27.1 %	9.86
2012	4,980.40	(1.4 %)	3,608.31	(4.2 %)	3,866.22	(5.9 %)	9.28
2013	4,240.40	(14.9 %)	2,878.62	(20.2 %)	3,160.48	(18.3 %)	7.59
2014	4,456.13	5.1 %	3,072.42	6.7 %	3,174.04	0.4 %	7.62
2015	3,547.27	(20.4 %)	2,085.05	(32.1 %)	2,130.43	(32.9 %)	5.11

Profitability

Period	Gross Margin	OIBDA Margin	Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2007	60.37 %	65.00 %	62.52 %
Q2 2007	63.67 %	68.40 %	63.43 %
Q3 2007	64.60 %	68.25 %	62.27 %
Q4 2007	68.11 %	72.37 %	65.32 %
2007	73.72 %	78.85 %	71.48 %
Q1 2008	71.50 %	76.41 %	70.18 %
Q2 2008	75.08 %	79.21 %	77.38 %
Q3 2008	82.06 %	85.15 %	82.64 %
Q4 2008	80.82 %	84.78 %	83.93 %
2008	82.90 %	87.39 %	86.53 %
Q1 2009	78.51 %	82.40 %	81.50 %
Q2 2009	75.78 %	80.50 %	77.36 %
Q3 2009	64.81 %	72.13 %	70.04 %
Q4 2009	62.70 %	68.93 %	63.24 %
2009	62.38 %	68.93 %	63.24 %
Q1 2010	66.62 %	72.45 %	67.47 %
Q2 2010	69.76 %	75.51 %	70.71 %
Q3 2010	68.99 %	74.50 %	71.91 %
Q4 2010	70.99 %	77.07 %	77.39 %
2010	70.99 %	77.07 %	77.39 %
Q1 2011	71.20 %	77.27 %	77.38 %
Q2 2011	69.29 %	74.95 %	74.59 %
Q3 2011	73.33 %	78.93 %	79.59 %
Q4 2011	74.54 %	78.96 %	81.36 %
2011	74.54 %	78.96 %	81.36 %
Q1 2012	73.77 %	78.19 %	80.08 %
Q2 2012	73.29 %	77.86 %	80.18 %
Q3 2012	72.61 %	77.33 %	78.66 %
Q4 2012	72.45 %	77.69 %	77.63 %
2012	72.45 %	77.69 %	77.63 %
Q1 2013	72.74 %	77.97 %	78.70 %
Q2 2013	72.84 %	78.17 %	78.97 %
Q3 2013	70.03 %	76.05 %	75.58 %
Q4 2013	67.89 %	74.79 %	74.45 %
2013	67.89 %	74.79 %	73.49 %
Q1 2014	67.10 %	73.89 %	72.34 %
Q2 2014	66.67 %	73.41 %	71.87 %
Q3 2014	68.43 %	74.29 %	73.07 %
Q4 2014	68.82 %	74.90 %	70.26 %
2014	68.95 %	75.02 %	70.38 %
Q1 2015	67.22 %	73.44 %	67.88 %
Q2 2015	66.90 %	73.61 %	67.69 %
Q3 2015	64.78 %	72.83 %	65.01 %
Q4 2015	58.78 %	68.07 %	60.06 %
2015	58.78 %	68.07 %	60.06 %
Q1 2016	56.04 %	64.77 %	55.54 %
Q2 2016	51.95 %	63.60 %	49.19 %
Q3 2016	46.05 %	52.74 %	39.46 %

Period	Gross Margin	OIBDA Margin	Net Margin Before Unusual Items
2006	59.54 %	64.58 %	62.87 %
2007	73.72 %	78.85 %	71.48 %
2008	82.90 %	87.39 %	86.53 %
2009	62.38 %	68.93 %	63.24 %
2010	70.99 %	77.07 %	77.39 %
2011	74.54 %	78.96 %	81.36 %
2012	72.45 %	77.69 %	77.63 %
2013	67.89 %	74.79 %	73.49 %
2014	68.95 %	75.02 %	70.38 %
2015	58.78 %	68.07 %	60.06 %

Period	Gross Margin	OIBDA Margin	Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2007	59.67 %	64.35 %	61.32 %
Q2 2007	69.90 %	75.40 %	65.06 %
Q3 2007	64.01 %	66.51 %	60.82 %
Q4 2007	74.88 %	79.67 %	71.86 %
Q1 2008	78.01 %	85.44 %	84.59 %
Q2 2008	81.77 %	84.60 %	89.69 %
Q3 2008	87.17 %	87.98 %	82.70 %
Q4 2008	67.58 %	77.23 %	78.18 %
Q1 2009	61.23 %	68.58 %	67.39 %
Q2 2009	66.52 %	74.01 %	69.80 %
Q3 2009	63.09 %	67.03 %	61.89 %
Q4 2009	59.68 %	65.81 %	52.25 %
Q1 2010	74.44 %	80.31 %	80.84 %
Q2 2010	79.02 %	86.07 %	82.53 %
Q3 2010	61.75 %	65.21 %	67.79 %
Q4 2010	70.50 %	77.97 %	78.77 %
Q1 2011	74.69 %	80.52 %	80.23 %
Q2 2011	68.89 %	74.04 %	69.94 %
Q3 2011	78.61 %	82.65 %	87.79 %
Q4 2011	74.95 %	78.20 %	84.83 %
Q1 2012	70.99 %	76.80 %	74.13 %
Q2 2012	66.65 %	72.48 %	70.25 %
Q3 2012	76.07 %	80.65 %	82.18 %
Q4 2012	74.56 %	79.57 %	81.60 %
Q1 2013	72.41 %	78.09 %	79.10 %
Q2 2013	66.33 %	72.72 %	70.49 %
Q3 2013	64.88 %	72.23 %	68.48 %
Q4 2013	67.32 %	75.67 %	79.23 %
Q1 2014	69.57 %	74.84 %	71.50 %
Q2 2014	64.36 %	70.54 %	68.28 %
Q3 2014	71.31 %	75.45 %	73.15 %
Q4 2014	69.00 %	78.05 %	67.30 %
Q1 2015	62.67 %	68.40 %	61.30 %
Q2 2015	62.69 %	71.17 %	67.41 %
Q3 2015	63.96 %	72.84 %	63.80 %
Q4 2015	44.28 %	59.09 %	46.52 %
Q1 2016	51.23 %	52.92 %	40.36 %
Q2 2016	46.42 %	67.59 %	42.59 %
Q3 2016	42.56 %	29.78 %	27.01 %

Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The

Period	Shares Outstanding (M)	EPS (Riyal)	Adjusted EPS (Riyal)	Book Value (BV)
Q1 2007	416.67	2.87	2.87	12.22
Q2 2007	416.67	3.45	3.45	11.99
Q3 2007	416.67	4.27	4.27	12.22
Q4 2007	416.67	5.30	5.32	14.43
Q1 2008	416.67	6.27	6.23	16.25
Q2 2008	416.67	7.85	7.86	18.16
Q3 2008	416.67	10.75	10.75	18.43
Q4 2008	416.67	10.25	10.78	19.28
Q1 2009	416.67	9.78	10.30	16.44
Q2 2009	416.67	8.07	8.55	17.76
Q3 2009	416.67	4.81	5.24	16.02
Q4 2009	416.67	4.33	4.16	16.84
Q1 2010	416.67	4.75	4.64	14.44
Q2 2010	416.67	5.77	4.94	13.00
Q3 2010	416.67	6.11	5.33	14.46
Q4 2010	416.67	7.76	7.04	17.12
Q1 2011	416.67	8.09	7.36	19.13
Q2 2011	416.67	7.80	7.81	17.41
Q3 2011	416.67	9.26	9.26	16.67
Q4 2011	416.67	9.86	9.86	19.70
Q1 2012	416.67	9.75	9.75	21.77
Q2 2012	416.67	9.74	9.74	19.27
Q3 2012	416.67	9.59	9.59	18.45
Q4 2012	416.67	9.28	9.28	21.26
Q1 2013	416.67	9.63	9.63	23.62
Q2 2013	416.67	9.41	9.41	20.54
Q3 2013	416.67	8.41	8.41	17.66
Q4 2013	416.67	7.59	7.58	19.85
Q1 2014	416.67	7.37	7.36	17.00
Q2 2014	416.67	7.24	7.23	15.34
Q3 2014	416.67	7.67	7.66	17.55
Q4 2014	416.67	7.62	7.51	18.87
Q1 2015	416.67	7.01	6.91	20.16
Q2 2015	416.67	6.91	6.80	19.46
Q3 2015	416.67	6.07	5.97	17.57
Q4 2015	416.67	5.11	5.11	18.23
Q1 2016	416.67	4.37	4.37	16.07
Q2 2016	416.67	3.66	3.66	15.35
Q3 2016	416.67	2.75	2.75	15.81

Period	Shares Outstanding (M)	EPS (Riyal)	Adjusted EPS (Riyal)	Book Value (BV)
2006	416.67	2.76	2.76	11.37
2007	416.67	5.30	5.33	14.43
2008	416.67	10.27	10.87	19.28
2009	416.67	4.33	4.16	16.84
2010	416.67	7.76	7.04	17.12
2011	416.67	9.86	9.86	19.70
2012	416.67	9.28	9.28	21.26
2013	416.67	7.59	7.48	19.85
2014	416.67	7.62	7.53	18.87
2015	416.67	5.11	5.11	18.23

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The

Period	P/E	Adjusted P/E	Price/book
Q1 2007	26.18	26.18	6.15
Q2 2007	21.24	21.24	6.11
Q3 2007	16.78	16.78	5.87
Q4 2007	20.54	20.45	7.54
Q1 2008	20.37	20.48	7.85
Q2 2008	22.48	22.46	9.72
Q3 2008	12.34	12.34	7.20
Q4 2008	6.00	5.71	3.19
Q1 2009	6.43	6.11	3.83
Q2 2009	9.64	9.10	4.38
Q3 2009	17.81	16.36	5.35
Q4 2009	19.15	19.94	4.93
Q1 2010	21.19	21.69	6.97
Q2 2010	15.26	17.82	6.78
Q3 2010	16.16	18.52	6.83
Q4 2010	14.11	15.56	6.40
Q1 2011	15.90	17.46	6.72
Q2 2011	16.60	16.60	7.44
Q3 2011	13.47	13.47	7.49
Q4 2011	12.23	12.23	6.12
Q1 2012	13.39	13.39	6.00
Q2 2012	11.97	11.97	6.05
Q3 2012	13.33	13.33	6.93
Q4 2012	15.00	15.00	6.55
Q1 2013	15.07	15.07	6.14
Q2 2013	13.99	13.99	6.41
Q3 2013	16.05	16.05	7.65
Q4 2013	18.86	18.88	7.21
Q1 2014	19.84	19.86	8.60
Q2 2014	20.27	20.29	9.57
Q3 2014	19.51	19.53	8.53
Q4 2014	16.90	17.13	6.82
Q1 2015	19.54	19.83	6.79
Q2 2015	19.52	19.82	6.93
Q3 2015	17.94	18.25	6.21
Q4 2015	18.36	18.36	5.15
Q1 2016	17.34	17.34	4.71
Q2 2016	18.51	18.51	4.42
Q3 2016	27.52	27.52	4.79

Period	P/E	Adjusted P/E	Price/book
2006	22.63	22.63	5.50
2007	20.53	20.44	7.54
2008	5.99	5.66	3.19
2009	19.15	19.94	4.93
2010	14.11	15.56	6.40
2011	12.23	12.23	6.12
2012	15.00	15.00	6.55
2013	18.86	19.12	7.21
2014	16.90	17.10	6.82
2015	18.36	18.36	5.15

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item	Q3 2016 (e)	Q3 2016 (a)	Change‬
Average	253.44	186.22	(26.5 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item	Q3 2016 (e)	Q3 2016 (a)	Change
OSOOL AND BAKHEET	230.60	186.22	(19.2) %
Alistithmar Capital	237.20	186.22	(21.5) %
Riyad Capital	241.00	186.22	(22.7) %
AlJazira Capital	244.50	186.22	(23.8) %
SNB Capital	253.00	186.22	(26.4) %
Sico	255.00	186.22	(27.0) %
KASB Capital	264.70	186.22	(29.6) %
Albilad Capital	268.00	186.22	(30.5) %
Al Rajhi Capital	287.00	186.22	(35.1) %

Financial Ratios

	Current
Market Cap (M Riyal)	52,364.40
Enterprise Value (EV) (M)	42,656.91
Shares Outstanding ((M))	476.04
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM)	7.39
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal)	38.92
Par Value ( Riyal)	10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12)	14.35
P/E (TTM)	14.88
Price/book	2.83
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM)	13.3
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM)	19.8

SABIC Agri-Nutrients Co. (SABIC AGRI-NUTRIENTS)

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SAFCO’s net profit falls 56% in 9M 2016

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Financials (M)

Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Financial results (Million)

Financial results (Million)

Profitability

Profitability

Per Share Data (Riyal)

Per Share Data (Riyal)

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Ratios And Multiples

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Estimates Accuracy

Financial Ratios

Share Price

SABIC Agri-Nutrients Co. (SABIC AGRI-NUTRIENTS)

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SAFCO’s net profit falls 56% in 9M 2016

View other reports

Financials (M)

Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Financial results (Million)

Financial results (Million)

Profitability

Profitability

Per Share Data (Riyal)

Per Share Data (Riyal)

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Ratios And Multiples

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Estimates Accuracy

Financial Ratios

Share Price

SABIC Agri-Nutrients Co. (SABIC AGRI-NUTRIENTS)

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