Yansab net profit drops 58% in 9M

20/10/2019 Argaam Exclusive

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Yanbu National Petrochemical Co. (Yansab) reported a net profit after zakat and tax of SAR 918.8 million for the first 9 months of 2019, a 57.86 percent year-on-year (YoY) decrease driven by lower selling prices.



Financials (M)

Item 9m 2018 9m 2019 Change‬
Revenues 6,009.11 4,582.75 (23.7 %)
Gross Income 2,516.65 1,200.15 (52.3 %)
Operating Income 2,161.81 913.84 (57.7 %)
Net Income 2,180.50 918.82 (57.9 %)
Average Shares 562.50 562.50 -
EPS (Riyals) 3.88 1.63 (57.9 %)

Yansab’s net profit for Q3 2019 fell 70.9 percent YoY to SAR 212.1 million, due to lower selling prices and decreased sales volumes.

 

On a sequential basis, Q3 2019 net profit slid by 32.9 percent compared to the previous quarter.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q3 2018 Q3 2019 Change‬
Revenues 2,110.43 1,422.74 (32.6 %)
Gross Income 839.25 296.05 (64.7 %)
Operating Income 710.81 205.38 (71.1 %)
Net Income 729.02 212.06 (70.9 %)
Average Shares 562.50 562.50 -
EPS (Riyals) 1.30 0.38 (70.9 %)


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Net Income Change EPS(Riyal)
Q1 2010 688.59 - 325.43 - 259.43 3249.6 % 0.46
Q2 2010 1,638.22 - 632.13 - 502.38 7650.1 % 0.89
Q3 2010 1,602.88 - 501.85 - 356.20 5187.8 % 0.63
Q4 2010 1,891.84 - 710.15 - 554.76 7677.7 % 0.99
Q1 2011 2,077.28 201.7 % 891.46 173.9 % 717.85 176.7 % 1.28
Q2 2011 2,659.86 62.4 % 1,139.46 80.3 % 963.67 91.8 % 1.71
Q3 2011 2,497.80 55.8 % 975.77 94.4 % 827.94 132.4 % 1.47
Q4 2011 2,424.41 28.2 % 786.41 10.7 % 664.88 19.8 % 1.18
Q1 2012 2,445.86 17.7 % 906.99 1.7 % 720.27 0.3 % 1.28
Q2 2012 2,332.26 (12.3 %) 824.89 (27.6 %) 649.61 (32.6 %) 1.15
Q3 2012 2,017.60 (19.2 %) 588.27 (39.7 %) 435.73 (47.4 %) 0.77
Q4 2012 2,503.31 3.3 % 788.85 0.3 % 640.77 (3.6 %) 1.14
Q1 2013 2,168.52 (11.3 %) 800.29 (11.8 %) 667.07 (7.4 %) 1.19
Q2 2013 2,212.84 (5.1 %) 807.15 (2.2 %) 670.52 3.2 % 1.19
Q3 2013 2,888.72 43.2 % 1,027.75 74.7 % 864.83 98.5 % 1.54
Q4 2013 2,083.57 (16.8 %) 589.60 (25.3 %) 442.23 (31.0 %) 0.79
Q1 2014 2,317.89 6.9 % 708.29 (11.5 %) 555.68 (16.7 %) 0.99
Q2 2014 2,409.31 8.9 % 760.78 (5.7 %) 613.03 (8.6 %) 1.09
Q3 2014 2,493.73 (13.7 %) 844.76 (17.8 %) 691.28 (20.1 %) 1.23
Q4 2014 2,290.10 9.9 % 773.20 31.1 % 617.75 39.7 % 1.10
Q1 2015 1,716.78 (25.9 %) 412.75 (41.7 %) 285.14 (48.7 %) 0.51
Q2 2015 1,563.32 (35.1 %) 373.04 (51.0 %) 227.40 (62.9 %) 0.40
Q3 2015 1,800.27 (27.8 %) 434.61 (48.6 %) 301.72 (56.4 %) 0.54
Q4 2015 1,831.05 (20.0 %) 537.20 (30.5 %) 393.06 (36.4 %) 0.70
Q1 2016 1,346.43 (21.6 %) 607.27 47.1 % 421.74 47.9 % 0.75
Q2 2016 1,722.34 10.2 % 852.67 128.6 % 747.34 228.6 % 1.33
Q3 2016 1,516.80 (15.7 %) 688.73 58.5 % 568.28 88.3 % 1.01
Q4 2016 1,645.07 (10.2 %) 732.63 36.4 % 607.00 54.4 % 1.08
Q1 2017 1,758.51 30.6 % 728.26 19.9 % 608.16 44.2 % 1.08
Q2 2017 1,362.12 (20.9 %) 465.16 (45.4 %) 345.72 (53.7 %) 0.61
Q3 2017 1,933.44 27.5 % 780.33 13.3 % 644.59 13.4 % 1.15
Q4 2017 2,166.85 31.7 % 896.55 22.4 % 777.90 28.2 % 1.38
Q1 2018 1,787.21 1.6 % 739.84 1.6 % 630.59 3.7 % 1.12
Q2 2018 2,111.47 55.0 % 937.57 101.6 % 820.89 137.4 % 1.46
Q3 2018 2,110.43 9.2 % 839.25 7.5 % 729.02 13.1 % 1.30
Q4 2018 1,619.36 (25.3 %) 348.78 (61.1 %) 233.48 (70.0 %) 0.42
Q1 2019 1,522.05 (14.8 %) 472.49 (36.1 %) 390.64 (38.1 %) 0.69
Q2 2019 1,637.96 (22.4 %) 431.61 (54.0 %) 316.13 (61.5 %) 0.56
Q3 2019 1,422.74 (32.6 %) 296.05 (64.7 %) 212.06 (70.9 %) 0.38

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2010 47.26 % 53.80 % 34.63 %
Q2 2010 41.15 % 52.45 % 32.13 %
Q3 2010 37.14 % 49.57 % 28.26 %
Q4 2010 37.27 % 49.49 % 28.73 %
Q1 2011 37.94 % 49.61 % 29.56 %
Q2 2011 39.39 % 49.60 % 31.49 %
Q3 2011 40.72 % 50.12 % 33.57 %
Q4 2011 39.27 % 47.99 % 32.86 %
Q1 2012 37.98 % 46.34 % 31.68 %
Q2 2012 36.02 % 47.12 % 29.51 %
Q3 2012 33.69 % 50.53 % 26.79 %
Q4 2012 33.43 % 58.26 % 26.31 %
Q1 2013 33.28 % 59.12 % 26.53 %
Q2 2013 33.53 % 57.16 % 27.12 %
Q3 2013 35.03 % 51.30 % 29.09 %
Q4 2013 34.48 % 43.54 % 28.27 %
Q1 2014 32.97 % 42.38 % 26.66 %
Q2 2014 31.82 % 41.45 % 25.52 %
Q3 2014 31.20 % 41.94 % 24.74 %
Q4 2014 32.46 % 43.45 % 26.05 %
Q1 2015 31.33 % 42.95 % 24.77 %
Q2 2015 29.81 % 42.15 % 22.59 %
Q3 2015 27.05 % 39.84 % 19.44 %
Q4 2015 25.43 % 38.49 % 17.54 %
Q1 2016 29.84 % 42.19 % 20.62 %
Q2 2016 36.29 % 47.23 % 27.89 %
Q3 2016 41.86 % 52.93 % 33.27 %
Q4 2016 46.24 % 56.31 % 37.63 %
Q1 2017 45.20 % 54.64 % 38.10 %
Q2 2017 41.62 % 51.91 % 33.89 %
Q3 2017 40.40 % 49.45 % 32.92 %
Q4 2017 39.75 % 48.52 % 32.91 %
Q1 2018 39.75 % 48.53 % 33.09 %
Q2 2018 41.93 % 49.73 % 35.93 %
Q3 2018 41.75 % 49.37 % 36.18 %
Q4 2018 37.56 % 45.25 % 31.64 %
Q1 2019 35.28 % 43.52 % 29.53 %
Q2 2019 30.37 % 42.48 % 24.23 %
Q3 2019 24.97 % 38.92 % 18.58 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2010 562.50 0.42 0.42 10.54
Q2 2010 562.50 1.33 1.33 11.43
Q3 2010 562.50 1.97 1.97 12.06
Q4 2010 562.50 2.97 2.97 13.05
Q1 2011 562.50 3.79 3.79 14.33
Q2 2011 562.50 4.61 4.61 16.04
Q3 2011 562.50 5.45 5.45 17.51
Q4 2011 562.50 5.64 5.64 18.69
Q1 2012 562.50 5.65 5.65 19.97
Q2 2012 562.50 5.09 5.09 21.13
Q3 2012 562.50 4.39 4.39 21.90
Q4 2012 562.50 4.35 4.35 23.04
Q1 2013 562.50 4.25 4.25 24.23
Q2 2013 562.50 4.29 4.29 24.42
Q3 2013 562.50 5.05 5.05 25.96
Q4 2013 562.50 4.70 4.70 26.74
Q1 2014 562.50 4.50 4.50 25.73
Q2 2014 562.50 4.40 4.40 25.32
Q3 2014 562.50 4.09 4.09 26.55
Q4 2014 562.50 4.40 4.40 27.65
Q1 2015 562.50 3.92 3.92 26.65
Q2 2015 562.50 3.24 3.24 26.06
Q3 2015 562.50 2.55 2.55 26.59
Q4 2015 562.50 2.15 2.16 27.29
Q1 2016 562.50 2.39 2.40 27.00
Q2 2016 562.50 3.31 3.32 26.73
Q3 2016 562.50 3.79 3.79 27.81
Q4 2016 562.50 4.17 4.17 28.54
Q1 2017 562.50 4.50 4.50 28.12
Q2 2017 562.50 3.79 3.79 27.24
Q3 2017 562.50 3.92 3.92 28.37
Q4 2017 562.50 4.22 4.22 29.76
Q1 2018 562.50 4.26 4.26 30.91
Q2 2018 562.50 5.11 5.11 28.87
Q3 2018 562.50 5.26 5.26 30.17
Q4 2018 562.50 4.29 4.29 30.68
Q1 2019 562.50 3.86 3.86 31.34
Q2 2019 562.50 2.97 2.97 28.12
Q3 2019 562.50 2.05 2.05 28.38

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2010 91.76 91.76 3.69
Q2 2010 28.67 28.67 3.33
Q3 2010 19.55 19.55 3.20
Q4 2010 16.01 16.01 3.65
Q1 2011 12.72 12.72 3.36
Q2 2011 10.26 10.26 2.95
Q3 2011 8.30 8.30 2.58
Q4 2011 7.80 7.80 2.35
Q1 2012 9.21 9.21 2.60
Q2 2012 8.65 8.65 2.08
Q3 2012 10.18 10.18 2.04
Q4 2012 10.88 10.88 2.05
Q1 2013 12.40 12.40 2.18
Q2 2013 12.93 12.93 2.27
Q3 2013 12.32 12.32 2.40
Q4 2013 15.69 15.69 2.76
Q1 2014 15.71 15.71 2.75
Q2 2014 16.11 16.11 2.80
Q3 2014 17.59 17.59 2.71
Q4 2014 10.82 10.82 1.72
Q1 2015 10.76 10.76 1.58
Q2 2015 16.75 16.75 2.08
Q3 2015 16.92 16.91 1.62
Q4 2015 15.10 15.04 1.19
Q1 2016 16.32 16.26 1.44
Q2 2016 12.65 12.61 1.57
Q3 2016 11.41 11.39 1.55
Q4 2016 12.97 12.97 1.89
Q1 2017 12.72 12.72 2.04
Q2 2017 14.74 14.74 2.05
Q3 2017 15.13 15.13 2.09
Q4 2017 13.93 13.93 1.98
Q1 2018 17.13 17.13 2.36
Q2 2018 14.58 14.58 2.58
Q3 2018 13.48 13.48 2.35
Q4 2018 14.87 14.87 2.08
Q1 2019 19.22 19.22 2.37
Q2 2019 21.47 21.47 2.26
Q3 2019 26.12 26.12 1.88

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q3 2019 (e) Q3 2019 (a) Change‬
Average 278.12 212.06 (23.8 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q3 2019 (e) Q3 2019 (a) Change
OSOOL AND BAKHEET 212.00 212.06 0.0 %
SNB Capital 275.00 212.06 (22.9) %
Riyad Capital 279.00 212.06 (24.0) %
Al Rajhi Capital 296.00 212.06 (28.4) %
AlJazira Capital 328.60 212.06 (35.5) %

Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 20,446.88
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 18,108.35
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 562.50
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) (0.03)
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 21.39
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) Neg
P/E (TTM) NEG
Price/book 1.70
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) (0.11 )
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) (0.13 )

Share Price

Yanbu National Petrochemical Co. (YANSAB)


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