Financial Results : MEPCO’s net profit falls 28% in FY17

MEPCO’s net profit falls 28% in FY17

04/03/2018 Argaam Exclusive

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Middle East Paper Co. (MEPCO) reported a net profit of SAR 68.1 million for the fiscal year 2017, a drop of 28.2 percent year-on-year, due to recording SAR 91.9 million worth of one-off gains in 2016 from a claim of expropriated land and premises.

 

In addition, a decline in the fair value of derivatives also weighed on the annual profit, despite lower financial charges.



Financials (M)

Item 2016 2017 Change‬
Revenues 634.41 771.01 21.5 %
Gross Income 131.28 186.11 41.8 %
Operating Income 32.52 95.39 193.3 %
Net Income 94.91 68.13 (28.2 %)
Average Shares 66.67 66.67 -
Earnings Per Share before unusual items (Riyals) 0.04 1.02 2214.2 %
EPS (Riyal) 1.42 1.02 (28.2 %)

In Q4 2017, the paper manufacturer swung to a net profit of SAR 24.5 million, compared to a net loss of SAR 16.8 million a year earlier.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q4 2016 Q4 2017 Change‬
Revenues 144.91 205.05 41.5 %
Gross Income 25.36 53.72 111.9 %
Operating Income (1.29) 30.89 2494.7 %
Net Income (12.46) 24.49 296.4 %
Average Shares 66.67 66.67 -
Earnings Per Share before unusual items (Riyal) (0.19) 0.37 296.4 %
EPS (Riyal) (0.19) 0.37 296.4 %


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2008 - - - - - -
Q2 2008 - - - - - -
Q3 2008 - - - - - -
Q4 2008 - - - - - -
Q1 2009 - - - - - -
Q2 2009 - - - - - -
Q3 2009 - - - - - -
Q4 2009 - - - - - -
Q1 2010 - - - - - -
Q2 2010 - - - - - -
Q3 2010 - - - - - -
Q4 2010 - - - - - -
Q1 2011 - - - - - -
Q2 2011 - - - - - -
Q3 2011 - - - - - -
Q4 2011 - - - - - -
Q1 2012 - - - - - -
Q2 2012 - - - - - -
Q3 2012 - - - - - -
Q4 2012 - - - - - -
Q1 2013 175.85 - 41.28 - 20.60 -
Q2 2013 195.47 - 50.61 - 29.56 -
Q3 2013 200.50 - 61.21 - 41.72 -
Q4 2013 188.35 - 50.81 - 32.76 -
Q1 2014 200.96 14.3 % 52.97 28.3 % 29.65 44.0 %
Q2 2014 203.05 3.9 % 59.04 16.7 % 36.78 24.4 %
Q3 2014 219.60 9.5 % 68.98 12.7 % 43.91 5.3 %
Q4 2014 202.50 7.5 % 53.41 5.1 % 31.88 (2.7 %)
Q1 2015 184.71 (8.1 %) 47.14 (11.0 %) 28.15 (5.1 %)
Q2 2015 184.14 (9.3 %) 48.17 (18.4 %) 26.28 (28.5 %)
Q3 2015 172.83 (21.3 %) 41.85 (39.3 %) 16.89 (61.5 %)
Q4 2015 139.50 (31.1 %) 35.70 (33.2 %) 10.55 (66.9 %)
Q1 2016 176.54 (4.4 %) 48.80 3.5 % 24.52 (12.9 %)
Q2 2016 164.82 (10.5 %) 28.37 (41.1 %) 3.01 (88.6 %)
Q3 2016 148.13 (14.3 %) 28.76 (31.3 %) 6.28 (62.8 %)
Q4 2016 144.91 3.9 % 25.36 (29.0 %) (1.29) (112.2 %)
Q1 2017 166.50 (5.7 %) 31.67 (35.1 %) 11.07 (54.9 %)
Q2 2017 186.72 13.3 % 45.42 60.1 % 25.51 749.0 %
Q3 2017 212.74 43.6 % 55.30 92.3 % 27.92 344.4 %
Q4 2017 205.05 41.5 % 53.72 111.9 % 30.89 2494.7 %
2017 771.01 21.5 % 186.11 41.8 % 95.39 193.3 %


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS(Riyal)
Q1 2008 - - - - - -
Q2 2008 - - - - - -
Q3 2008 - - - - - -
Q4 2008 - - - - - -
Q1 2009 - - - - - -
Q2 2009 - - - - - -
Q3 2009 - - - - - -
Q4 2009 - - - - - -
Q1 2010 - - - - - -
Q2 2010 - - - - - -
Q3 2010 - - - - - -
Q4 2010 - - - - - -
Q1 2011 - - - - - -
Q2 2011 - - - - - -
Q3 2011 - - - - - -
Q4 2011 - - - - - -
Q1 2012 - - - - - -
Q2 2012 - - - - - -
Q3 2012 - - - - - -
Q4 2012 - - - - - -
Q1 2013 11.26 - 0.17 - 11.26 0.17
Q2 2013 22.76 - 0.34 - 22.76 0.34
Q3 2013 31.50 - 0.47 - 31.50 0.47
Q4 2013 22.56 - 0.34 - 22.56 0.34
Q1 2014 22.83 102.7 % 0.34 - 22.83 0.34
Q2 2014 29.26 28.6 % 0.44 - 29.26 0.44
Q3 2014 36.35 15.4 % 0.55 - 36.35 0.55
Q4 2014 22.91 1.5 % 0.34 - 22.91 0.34
Q1 2015 23.20 1.6 % 0.35 - 23.20 0.35
Q2 2015 19.57 (33.1 %) 0.29 - 19.57 0.29
Q3 2015 9.58 (73.6 %) 0.14 - 9.58 0.14
Q4 2015 2.77 (87.9 %) 0.04 - 2.77 0.04
Q1 2016 16.78 (27.7 %) 0.25 - 16.78 0.25
Q2 2016 88.31 351.3 % 1.32 91.96 (3.65) (0.05)
Q3 2016 2.28 (76.2 %) 0.03 - 2.28 0.03
Q4 2016 (12.46) (550.0 %) (0.19) - (12.46) (0.19)
Q1 2017 3.25 (80.6 %) 0.05 - 3.25 0.05
Q2 2017 18.18 (79.4 %) 0.27 - 18.18 0.27
Q3 2017 22.22 873.6 % 0.33 - 22.22 0.33
Q4 2017 24.49 296.4 % 0.37 - 24.49 0.37
2017 68.13 (28.2 %) 1.02 - 68.13 1.02

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 - - -
Q3 2008 - - -
Q4 2008 - - -
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 - - -
Q3 2009 - - -
Q4 2009 - - -
Q1 2010 - - -
Q2 2010 - - -
Q3 2010 - - -
Q4 2010 - - -
Q1 2011 - - -
Q2 2011 - - -
Q3 2011 - - -
Q4 2011 - - -
Q1 2012 - - -
Q2 2012 - - -
Q3 2012 - - -
Q4 2012 - - -
Q1 2013 - - -
Q2 2013 - - -
Q3 2013 - - -
Q4 2013 26.82 % 26.56 % 11.59 %
Q1 2014 27.46 % 27.05 % 12.69 %
Q2 2014 28.26 % 28.06 % 13.39 %
Q3 2014 28.55 % 28.01 % 13.67 %
Q4 2014 28.37 % 27.86 % 13.48 %
Q1 2015 28.22 % 28.65 % 13.79 %
Q2 2015 27.52 % 28.28 % 12.90 %
Q3 2015 25.61 % 26.90 % 10.11 %
Q4 2015 25.38 % 26.78 % 8.09 %
Q1 2016 25.93 % 25.91 % 7.23 %
Q2 2016 23.67 % 22.33 % 3.90 %
Q3 2016 22.52 % 20.72 % 2.89 %
Q4 2016 20.69 % 17.73 % 0.46 %
2016 20.69 % 17.73 % 0.46 %
Q1 2017 18.28 % 16.26 % (1.69 %)
Q2 2017 20.30 % 19.74 % 1.74 %
Q3 2017 22.19 % 21.31 % 4.39 %
Q4 2017 24.14 % 24.13 % 8.84 %
2017 24.14 % 24.13 % 8.84 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Earnings Per Share before unusual items (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2008 - - - -
Q2 2008 - - - -
Q3 2008 - - - -
Q4 2008 - - - -
Q1 2009 - - - -
Q2 2009 - - - -
Q3 2009 - - - -
Q4 2009 - - - -
Q1 2010 - - - -
Q2 2010 - - - -
Q3 2010 - - - -
Q4 2010 - - - -
Q1 2011 - - - -
Q2 2011 - - - -
Q3 2011 - - - -
Q4 2011 - - - -
Q1 2012 - - - -
Q2 2012 - - - -
Q3 2012 - - - -
Q4 2012 - - - -
Q1 2013 66.67 - - 7.21
Q2 2013 66.67 - - 7.55
Q3 2013 66.67 - - 8.02
Q4 2013 66.67 1.32 1.32 7.99
Q1 2014 66.67 1.49 1.49 8.33
Q2 2014 66.67 1.59 1.59 8.15
Q3 2014 66.67 1.66 1.66 8.70
Q4 2014 66.67 1.67 1.67 9.04
Q1 2015 66.67 1.68 1.68 9.39
Q2 2015 66.67 1.53 1.53 9.68
Q3 2015 66.67 1.13 1.13 9.83
Q4 2015 66.67 0.83 0.83 9.87
Q1 2016 66.67 0.73 0.73 9.62
Q2 2016 66.67 1.76 0.38 10.57
Q3 2016 66.67 1.65 0.27 10.59
Q4 2016 66.67 1.42 0.04 10.40
Q1 2017 66.67 1.22 (0.16) 10.45
Q2 2017 66.67 0.17 0.17 10.16
Q3 2017 66.67 0.47 0.47 10.49
Q4 2017 66.67 1.02 1.02 10.84

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Recurring P/E Price/book
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 - - -
Q3 2008 - - -
Q4 2008 - - -
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 - - -
Q3 2009 - - -
Q4 2009 - - -
Q1 2010 - - -
Q2 2010 - - -
Q3 2010 - - -
Q4 2010 - - -
Q1 2011 - - -
Q2 2011 - - -
Q3 2011 - - -
Q4 2011 - - -
Q1 2012 - - -
Q2 2012 - - -
Q3 2012 - - -
Q4 2012 - - -
Q1 2013 - - -
Q2 2013 - - -
Q3 2013 - - -
Q4 2013 - - -
Q1 2014 - - -
Q2 2014 - - -
Q3 2014 - - -
Q4 2014 - - -
Q1 2015 - - -
Q2 2015 26.14 26.14 4.13
Q3 2015 25.29 25.29 2.90
Q4 2015 30.07 30.07 2.52
Q1 2016 24.74 24.74 1.88
Q2 2016 10.23 47.15 1.71
Q3 2016 8.19 49.60 1.28
Q4 2016 11.33 More than 100 1.55
Q1 2017 13.51 NEG 1.58
Q2 2017 82.07 82.07 1.36
Q3 2017 35.31 35.31 1.57
Q4 2017 18.43 18.43 1.74

Business Segments (Million)

Compared With The
Period The industrial sector The commercial sector Disposals
Q1 2013 158.35 71.46 (53.97)
Q2 2013 178.71 81.47 (64.72)
Q3 2013 185.64 77.94 (63.08)
Q4 2013 178.20 71.61 (61.46)
Q1 2014 189.39 64.27 (52.69)
Q2 2014 186.73 82.23 (65.90)
Q3 2014 204.13 83.05 (67.58)
Q4 2014 190.08 90.98 (78.55)
Q1 2015 149.78 73.94 (39.01)
Q2 2015 170.79 72.52 (59.17)
Q3 2015 171.60 59.18 (57.94)
Q4 2015 142.39 54.31 (57.21)
Q1 2016 167.90 61.40 (52.77)
Q2 2016 147.30 58.38 (40.87)
Q3 2016 137.14 62.02 (51.03)
Q4 2016 139.15 59.06 (53.30)
Q1 2017 150.79 75.52 (59.81)
Q2 2017 175.55 79.95 (68.78)
Q3 2017 204.74 81.55 (73.55)
Q4 2017 198.50 86.34 (79.79)

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Profit (Expected) Profit (Actual) Change
Average 25.50 24.49

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Profit (Expected) Profit (Actual) Change‬
OSOOL AND BAKHEET 25.50 24.49


Financial Ratios
Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 2,262.09
Enterprise Value (EV) (M Riyal) 2,387.22
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 86.67
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) (0.61)
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 18.66
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Recurring P/E Neg
P/E (TTM) NEG
Price/book 1.40
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) (2.01 )
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) (3.19 )
EV/adj EBITDA 20.33
EV/Revenues 2.17
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Share Price

Middle East Paper Co.
26.10
(0.58) (2.17 %)

Middle East Paper Co. (MEPCO)

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