Almarai profit up 20% to SAR 1.67 bln in 9M 2023; Q3 at SAR 486.3 mln

08/10/2023 Argaam Exclusive

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Share Price

56.00
(0.40) (0.71 %)

Almarai Co. (ALMARAI)

Almarai Co. reported a net profit of SAR 1.67 billion in the first nine months of 2023, up 20% from SAR 1.40 billion a year earlier. 



Financials (M)

Item 9m 2022 9m 2023 Change‬
Revenues 13,883.03 14,655.85 5.6 %
Gross Income 4,290.24 4,654.38 8.5 %
Operating Income 1,928.51 2,219.87 15.1 %
Net Income 1,403.99 1,678.40 19.5 %
Average Shares 1,000.00 1,000.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 1.40 1.68 19.5 %

The profit growth was attributed to a 6% rise year-on-year (YoY) in revenues as the topline grew consistently in Almarai’s the core GCC markets over the three past quarters, mainly in the group’s poultry, dairy, and bakery segments.

 

Operating profit leapt 22% YoY, on disciplined cost controls, stabilization of commodity costs and a sharp focus on operational excellence.

 

Net profit growth was also driven by capacity expansion and market share gains across multiple categories.

 

The third-quarter net profit grew 5% to SAR 486.3 million, from SAR 463.17 million in Q3 2022.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q3 2022 Q3 2023 Change‬
Revenues 4,769.12 4,796.93 0.6 %
Gross Income 1,488.72 1,469.45 (1.3 %)
Operating Income 678.98 646.71 (4.8 %)
Net Income 463.17 486.26 5.0 %
Average Shares 1,000.00 1,000.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.46 0.49 5.0 %

This was due to a 1% increase YoY in Q3 revenues on strong performance in the core GCC markets.

 

However, the devaluation of the Egyptian pound and a marked reduction in demand of external alfalfa sales, mainly to East Asian countries, reduced the group’s quarterly revenues by 3%, with no material impact on profitability.

 

Operating profit rose 11% YoY in Q3, which led to disciplined cost controls across the board, including the general & administration expenses, supported double-digit growth of 11% in operating profits.

 

Commodity costs continued to show signs of stabilization, although they remained at a higher level relative to historic norms, mainly corn, soya, and alfalfa.

 

The Q3 2023 earnings dropped 12.7% from SAR 557.08 million in the previous quarter.

 

Total shareholders’ equity, after minority interest, reached SAR 17.49 billion as of Sept. 30, 2023, compared to SAR 16.27 billion a year earlier.



Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Net Income Change EPS(Riyal)
Q1 2014 2,718.92 12.8 % 918.95 11.0 % 273.58 7.2 % 0.27
Q2 2014 3,286.52 14.4 % 1,149.16 11.1 % 433.29 8.8 % 0.43
Q3 2014 3,269.37 11.7 % 1,390.72 25.9 % 539.44 13.4 % 0.54
Q4 2014 3,330.76 10.7 % 1,133.79 13.9 % 428.03 14.7 % 0.43
Q1 2015 3,037.31 11.7 % 1,110.34 20.8 % 306.48 12.0 % 0.31
Q2 2015 3,649.52 11.0 % 1,388.04 20.8 % 530.42 22.4 % 0.53
Q3 2015 3,523.58 7.8 % 1,446.52 4.0 % 595.12 10.3 % 0.60
Q4 2015 3,584.20 7.6 % 1,338.37 18.0 % 483.68 13.0 % 0.48
Q1 2016 3,373.79 11.1 % 1,127.55 1.5 % 288.66 (5.8 %) 0.29
Q2 2016 3,925.89 7.6 % 1,520.89 9.6 % 658.38 24.1 % 0.66
Q3 2016 3,530.34 0.2 % 1,485.41 2.7 % 664.26 11.6 % 0.66
Q4 2016 3,508.56 (2.1 %) 1,388.64 3.8 % 536.49 10.9 % 0.54
Q1 2017 3,383.53 0.3 % 1,177.43 4.4 % 328.27 13.7 % 0.33
Q2 2017 3,760.36 (4.2 %) 1,554.93 2.2 % 674.11 2.4 % 0.67
Q3 2017 3,372.92 (4.5 %) 1,516.00 2.1 % 667.01 0.4 % 0.67
Q4 2017 3,418.73 (2.6 %) 1,335.27 (3.8 %) 512.89 (4.4 %) 0.51
Q1 2018 3,232.21 (4.5 %) 1,254.43 6.5 % 344.87 5.1 % 0.34
Q2 2018 3,672.33 (2.3 %) 1,448.45 (6.8 %) 661.39 (1.9 %) 0.66
Q3 2018 3,317.36 (1.6 %) 1,399.20 (7.7 %) 634.96 (4.8 %) 0.63
Q4 2018 3,381.18 (1.1 %) 1,262.94 (5.4 %) 370.77 (27.7 %) 0.37
Q1 2019 3,308.89 2.4 % 1,163.91 (7.2 %) 336.03 (2.6 %) 0.34
Q2 2019 3,767.42 2.6 % 1,466.22 1.2 % 582.53 (11.9 %) 0.58
Q3 2019 3,573.26 7.7 % 1,443.77 3.2 % 581.25 (8.5 %) 0.58
Q4 2019 3,703.94 9.5 % 1,293.51 2.4 % 311.95 (15.9 %) 0.31
Q1 2020 3,592.44 8.6 % 1,253.19 7.7 % 383.01 14.0 % 0.38
Q2 2020 4,081.84 8.3 % 1,535.19 4.7 % 643.93 10.5 % 0.64
Q3 2020 3,863.08 8.1 % 1,514.70 4.9 % 621.52 6.9 % 0.62
Q4 2020 3,819.59 3.1 % 1,232.43 (4.7 %) 335.90 7.7 % 0.34
Q1 2021 3,645.01 1.5 % 1,235.11 (1.4 %) 385.95 0.8 % 0.39
Q2 2021 4,005.57 (1.9 %) 1,355.74 (11.7 %) 481.98 (25.2 %) 0.48
Q3 2021 3,941.73 2.0 % 1,275.71 (15.8 %) 409.09 (34.2 %) 0.41
Q4 2021 4,257.41 11.5 % 1,192.71 (3.2 %) 286.53 (14.7 %) 0.29
Q1 2022 4,503.46 23.6 % 1,331.92 7.8 % 420.46 8.9 % 0.42
Q2 2022 4,610.45 15.1 % 1,469.61 8.4 % 520.36 8.0 % 0.52
Q3 2022 4,769.12 21.0 % 1,488.72 16.7 % 463.17 13.2 % 0.46
Q4 2022 4,839.23 13.7 % 1,333.99 11.8 % 355.82 24.2 % 0.36
Q1 2023 5,066.56 12.5 % 1,617.85 21.5 % 635.06 51.0 % 0.64
Q2 2023 4,792.35 3.9 % 1,567.08 6.6 % 557.08 7.1 % 0.56
Q3 2023 4,796.93 0.6 % 1,469.45 (1.3 %) 486.26 5.0 % 0.49

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2014 35.17 % 27.75 % 13.01 %
Q2 2014 34.91 % 27.35 % 12.86 %
Q3 2014 36.26 % 27.32 % 13.02 %
Q4 2014 36.43 % 27.38 % 13.12 %
Q1 2015 37.02 % 27.31 % 13.21 %
Q2 2015 37.80 % 27.58 % 14.18 %
Q3 2015 37.51 % 27.73 % 14.32 %
Q4 2015 38.30 % 27.91 % 14.61 %
Q1 2016 37.51 % 27.63 % 14.13 %
Q2 2016 37.71 % 28.38 % 14.20 %
Q3 2016 37.96 % 29.09 % 14.50 %
Q4 2016 38.51 % 30.87 % 15.00 %
Q1 2017 38.84 % 31.68 % 15.27 %
Q2 2017 39.53 % 32.67 % 15.56 %
Q3 2017 40.19 % 34.21 % 15.93 %
Q4 2017 40.07 % 34.18 % 15.66 %
Q1 2018 41.07 % 35.75 % 15.95 %
Q2 2018 40.55 % 36.32 % 15.96 %
Q3 2018 39.86 % 36.36 % 15.79 %
Q4 2018 39.44 % 36.05 % 15.53 %
Q1 2019 38.56 % 35.36 % 15.38 %
Q2 2019 38.42 % 34.75 % 14.70 %
Q3 2019 38.04 % 33.87 % 14.05 %
Q4 2019 37.39 % 33.18 % 12.62 %
Q1 2020 37.28 % 32.63 % 12.70 %
Q2 2020 36.96 % 32.11 % 12.84 %
Q3 2020 36.72 % 31.84 % 12.86 %
Q4 2020 36.05 % 30.84 % 12.79 %
Q1 2021 35.81 % 31.08 % 12.76 %
Q2 2021 34.81 % 30.08 % 11.77 %
Q3 2021 33.08 % 28.17 % 10.33 %
Q4 2021 31.92 % 26.91 % 9.86 %
Q1 2022 30.86 % 25.81 % 9.56 %
Q2 2022 30.44 % 25.38 % 9.45 %
Q3 2022 30.23 % 25.12 % 9.78 %
Q4 2022 30.04 % 25.87 % 9.84 %
Q1 2023 30.65 % 26.64 % 10.67 %
Q2 2023 30.86 % 26.93 % 10.76 %
Q3 2023 30.72 % 26.92 % 10.43 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2014 1,000.00 1.52 1.50 8.76
Q2 2014 1,000.00 1.56 1.53 8.53
Q3 2014 1,000.00 1.62 1.60 8.99
Q4 2014 1,000.00 1.67 1.65 9.19
Q1 2015 1,000.00 1.71 1.71 9.37
Q2 2015 1,000.00 1.80 1.88 9.62
Q3 2015 1,000.00 1.86 1.94 9.99
Q4 2015 1,000.00 1.92 2.01 10.36
Q1 2016 1,000.00 1.90 2.00 10.51
Q2 2016 1,000.00 2.03 2.05 10.42
Q3 2016 1,000.00 2.09 2.09 11.08
Q4 2016 1,000.00 2.15 2.15 11.36
Q1 2017 1,000.00 2.19 2.19 11.01
Q2 2017 1,000.00 2.20 2.21 11.66
Q3 2017 1,000.00 2.21 2.23 12.26
Q4 2017 1,000.00 2.18 2.18 12.78
Q1 2018 1,000.00 2.20 2.20 13.11
Q2 2018 1,000.00 2.19 2.19 12.87
Q3 2018 1,000.00 2.15 2.15 13.39
Q4 2018 1,000.00 2.01 2.11 13.88
Q1 2019 1,000.00 2.00 2.10 14.24
Q2 2019 1,000.00 1.92 2.02 14.00
Q3 2019 1,000.00 1.87 1.97 14.58
Q4 2019 1,000.00 1.81 1.81 14.65
Q1 2020 1,000.00 1.86 1.86 14.72
Q2 2020 1,000.00 1.92 1.92 14.60
Q3 2020 1,000.00 1.96 1.96 15.33
Q4 2020 1,000.00 1.98 1.96 15.69
Q1 2021 1,000.00 1.99 1.97 16.07
Q2 2021 1,000.00 1.83 1.80 15.46
Q3 2021 1,000.00 1.61 1.59 15.86
Q4 2021 1,000.00 1.56 1.56 16.12
Q1 2022 1,000.00 1.60 1.60 16.32
Q2 2022 1,000.00 1.64 1.64 15.84
Q3 2022 1,000.00 1.69 1.77 16.27
Q4 2022 1,000.00 1.76 1.84 16.67
Q1 2023 1,000.00 1.97 2.06 17.24
Q2 2023 1,000.00 2.01 2.09 16.82
Q3 2023 1,000.00 2.03 2.03 17.49

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2014 25.51 25.87 4.43
Q2 2014 27.08 27.45 4.94
Q3 2014 29.93 30.32 5.39
Q4 2014 27.56 27.91 5.02
Q1 2015 30.66 30.66 5.59
Q2 2015 29.98 28.72 5.62
Q3 2015 27.25 26.13 5.07
Q4 2015 24.57 23.36 4.54
Q1 2016 22.12 21.02 3.99
Q2 2016 21.60 21.39 4.20
Q3 2016 20.28 20.33 3.83
Q4 2016 25.51 25.47 4.82
Q1 2017 25.80 25.76 5.13
Q2 2017 35.02 34.97 6.62
Q3 2017 25.87 25.54 4.65
Q4 2017 24.63 24.63 4.20
Q1 2018 25.19 25.19 4.22
Q2 2018 27.63 27.63 4.69
Q3 2018 23.17 23.17 3.73
Q4 2018 23.86 22.72 3.46
Q1 2019 27.46 26.14 3.86
Q2 2019 27.80 26.42 3.82
Q3 2019 26.60 25.24 3.41
Q4 2019 27.32 27.32 3.38
Q1 2020 25.29 25.29 3.19
Q2 2020 26.98 26.98 3.55
Q3 2020 26.98 26.98 3.45
Q4 2020 27.67 27.96 3.50
Q1 2021 26.17 26.44 3.24
Q2 2021 34.73 35.13 4.10
Q3 2021 35.96 36.43 3.66
Q4 2021 31.18 31.18 3.02
Q1 2022 32.04 32.04 3.14
Q2 2022 32.02 32.02 3.31
Q3 2022 31.47 30.00 3.27
Q4 2022 30.40 29.03 3.21
Q1 2023 28.57 27.41 3.27
Q2 2023 30.18 28.99 3.61
Q3 2023 31.26 31.26 3.64

Business Segments (Million)

Compared With The
Period Dairy & Juice Poultry Project Bakeries Productions Others.. Arable and Horticulture
Q1 2014 2,125.60 211.10 373.32 8.91 -
Q2 2014 2,547.67 250.35 399.27 89.24 -
Q3 2014 2,603.15 273.64 365.99 26.59 -
Q4 2014 2,625.49 287.67 394.33 23.27 -
Q1 2015 2,353.44 308.98 355.53 19.36 -
Q2 2015 2,869.02 313.95 396.35 70.21 -
Q3 2015 2,756.98 314.83 399.51 52.27 -
Q4 2015 2,761.46 324.49 474.46 23.79 -
Q1 2016 2,577.33 320.83 452.27 23.36 -
Q2 2016 3,054.66 365.77 458.22 47.25 -
Q3 2016 2,722.80 277.65 467.02 62.87 -
Q4 2016 2,606.53 367.26 503.28 31.48 -
Q1 2017 2,494.13 356.37 468.91 64.13 -
Q2 2017 2,920.95 387.41 434.61 17.39 -
Q3 2017 2,570.11 328.31 436.67 37.83 -
Q4 2017 2,525.29 391.54 466.90 35.00 -
Q1 2018 2,356.95 420.64 405.47 49.15 -
Q2 2018 2,752.49 434.66 377.44 62.50 -
Q3 2018 2,405.25 453.37 411.60 47.14 -
Q4 2018 2,404.97 491.69 446.89 37.63 -
Q1 2019 2,333.97 499.50 421.07 54.35 -
Q2 2019 2,782.58 527.14 394.60 60.88 -
Q3 2019 2,552.86 488.96 454.50 76.94 -
Q4 2019 2,540.58 608.99 479.13 75.24 -
Q1 2020 2,520.12 558.39 432.81 81.12 -
Q2 2020 2,966.24 614.62 424.22 76.77 -
Q3 2020 2,770.35 524.75 419.21 148.77 -
Q4 2020 2,666.97 595.02 435.72 121.87 -
Q1 2021 2,581.48 551.84 391.09 120.61 -
Q2 2021 2,895.63 566.18 400.92 142.84 -
Q3 2021 2,720.65 541.62 467.39 212.07 -
Q4 2021 2,943.57 641.81 529.47 142.55 -
Q1 2022 3,116.25 659.47 571.28 156.47 -
Q2 2022 3,136.00 736.35 567.52 170.58 -
Q3 2022 3,138.72 775.78 615.90 238.71 -
Q4 2022 3,113.15 841.84 684.60 199.65 -
Q1 2023 3,448.79 848.03 622.06 147.69 -
Q2 2023 3,178.75 849.41 620.99 143.20 -
Q3 2023 3,144.71 876.02 640.78 135.43 -

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q3 2023 (e) Q3 2023 (a) Change‬
Average 572.98 486.26 (15.1 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q3 2023 (e) Q3 2023 (a) Change
Riyad Capital 522.00 486.26 (6.8) %
U-Capital 539.90 486.26 (9.9) %
SNB Capital 579.00 486.26 (16.0) %
Sico 603.00 486.26 (19.4) %
Al Rajhi Capital 621.00 486.26 (21.7) %

Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 56,000.00
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 65,137.56
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 1,000.00
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 2.11
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 18.34
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) 26.59
P/E (TTM) 26.59
Price/book 3.05
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 6.2
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 11.8

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