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HSBC has slashed Saudi Marketing Co’s (Farm Superstore) price target to SAR 53 from SAR 67, due to forecasts for weaker sales density.
The target price cut was also based on a potential decline of 7.5 percent year-on-year in earnings per share (EPS) for the period from 2016 to 2017 fiscal years, and a presumably higher weighted average cost of capital (WACC).
Meanwhile, the bank reaffirmed the company’s ‘hold’ rating, thanks to the better value expected for the stock elsewhere in the local consumer sector, HSBC added in a note on Wednesday.
Though SRMG opened seven stores last year, retail sales growth was moderate, registering only seven percent and implying lower sales density.
Accordingly, zero growth like-for-like (LFL) in sales density and higher subsequent inflation are projected this year.
Meanwhile, rents and rebates collected by the company increased nearly 25 percent YoY, translating into a higher gross margin of 23.9 percent in 2015 from 23.2 percent a year earlier.
“We factor in the higher than expected rental income per store in our estimate and also factor in the management guidance on cost escalation due to subsidy cuts,” HSBC added.
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