Saudi Arabia’s GDP rises 5% in Q4 2025

03:19 PM (Mecca time) Argaam Special
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's flag

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's flag


The General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) reported that Saudi Arabia’s real gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 5% year-on-year (YoY) in Q4 2025.

 

The full-year GDP increased by 4.5% when compared with 2024.

 

GASTAT earlier announced the chain-weighting adoption in calculating real GDP levels and issued the Q4 2023 bulletin and the annual edition for the same year based on the new methodology, effectively transitioning from the traditional fixed base-year method.

 

The moving chain methodology is a dynamic approach used to measure economic growth rates, specifically in estimating real fiscal growth rates.

 

The national accounts approach updates price and volume weights every year based on the prior year’s data. This helps to provide a measurement within contiguous time periods while accurately reflecting the current economic conditions.

 

Data showed that all economic activities recorded YoY growth, with oil and non-oil activities widening by 10.8% and 4.3%, respectively, while government activities declined by 1.2%.

 

GDP by Activity via Moving Chain Methodology (SAR bln)

Activity

Q4 2024

Q4 2025

Change

Oil

309.76

343.24

10.8%

Non-Oil

658.28

686.5

4.3%

Gov’t Activities

180.19

178.06

(1.2%)

Total Value Added

1148.23

1206.97

5.1%

Net Product Tax

63.35

65.61

3.6%

GDP

1,211.58

1,272.53

5%

 

By regulatory sector, oil activities grew by 10.7%, non-oil activities advanced by 3.1%, and private-sector activities expanded by 4.3%.

 

GDP by Regulatory Sector via Moving Chain Methodology (SAR bln)*

Sector

Q4 2024

Q4 2025

Change

Oil

313.48

347.01

10.7%

Non-Oil

834.75

860.72

3.1%

Gov’t Activities

234.75

234.88

0.1%

Private Sector

600

625.88

4.3%

Total Value Added

1148.23

1206.97

5.1%

Net Product Tax

63.35

65.61

3.6%

GDP

1,211.58

1,272.53

5%

*The moving chain methodology is a non-additive model, so subcomponents do not correspond to totals.

 

Saudi Arabia’s GDP at current prices grew by 2% to SAR 1.21 trillion in Q4 2025, compared to Q4 2025.

 

Non-oil, government, and public-sector activities accelerated by 4.8%, 1%, and 6.2%, respectively. Meanwhile, oil activities contracted by 6.4% during the same period.

 

GDP by Regulatory Sector at Current Prices (SAR bln)

Sector

Q4 2024

Q4 2025

Change

Oil

270.87

253.63

(6.4%)

Non-Oil

845.75

886.56

4.8%

Gov’t Activities

224.91

227.23

1%

Private Sector

620.84

659.33

6.2%

Total Value Added

1,116.61

1,140.19

2.1%

Net Product Tax

70.24

70.21

(0.04%)

GDP

1,186.86

1,210.41

+2%

 

GDP Growth Rate via Chain-Linking Methodology

Period

Seasonally-Adjusted QoQ Change

YoY Change

Q1 2018

+0.2%

+2.7%

Q2 2018

+1.3%

+3.9%

Q3 2018

+0.4%

+3.1%

Q4 2018

+1.4%

+3.2%

Q1 2019

+0.2%

+2.8%

Q2 2019

(0.1%)

+1.7%

Q3 2019

(0.6%)

+1.4%

Q4 2019

+1.1%

+0.7%

Q1 2020

(2.2%)

(1.3%)

Q2 2020

(5.1%)

(7.3%)

Q3 2020

+2.5%

(3.7%)

Q4 2020

+1.9%

(2.9%)

Q1 2021

+1.6%

+1.7%

Q2 2021

+1%

+6.9%

Q3 2021

+4.1%

+8.5%

Q4 2021

+2.5%

+9%

Q1 2022

+4.2%

+11.2%

Q2 2022

+2.6%

+14.5%

Q3 2022

+2.3%

+13%

Q4 2022

+0.3%

+9.6%

Q1 2023

+0.04%

+5.5%

Q2 2023

(0.4%)

+2.7%

Q3 2023

(2.6%)

(2.6%)

Q4 2023

+0.3%

(3%)

Q1 2024

+2.4%

+0.4%

Q2 2024

+1.1%

+1.2%

Q3 2024

+0.8%

+3.9%

Q4 2024

+1%

+5.2%

Q1 2025

+0.6%

+3.7%

Q2 2025

+1.9%

+4.5%

Q3 2025

+1.2%

+4.8%

Q4 2025

+1.4%

+4.8%

*Data is updated periodically.

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