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Overview of ADNOC Distribution's Q2 2026 earnings forecast

One of ADNOC Distribution's stations
Argaam, in this report, provides a look at the earnings forecasts for ADNOC Distribution, which operates in the marketing of petroleum products, natural gas, and their derivatives in the UAE during Q2 2026. The report also covers the trend in quarterly profit, key performance indicators, and profitability metrics.
|
Quarterly revenue– AED mln |
|||||
|
Item |
Q2 2025 |
Q3 2025 |
Q4 2025 |
Q1 |
Q2 2026 |
|
Revenue |
8,638.5 |
9,325.5 |
9,459.5 |
8,833.6 |
9,632.7 |
|
Change (%) |
(1.7%) |
+2.7% |
+7.1% |
+4.3% |
+11.5% |
Quarterly Earnings– AED mln
|
Item |
Q2 2025 |
Q3 2025 |
Q4 2025 |
Q1 2026 |
Q2 2026 (Consensus) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net income |
676.7 |
810.9 |
667.8 |
770.7 |
1,007.6 |
|
Exceptional items |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
Net income before exceptional and non-recurring items |
676.7 |
810.9 |
667.8 |
770.7 |
1,007.6 |
|
Recurring EPS (fils/share) |
5.41 |
6.49 |
5.34 |
6.17 |
8.06 |
Key events during Q2 2026:
- The board of directors approved an interim cash dividend of 5.1425 fils per share for Q1 2026.
- The company announced strategic partnerships with Emirates Global Aluminium valued at over AED 60 million. The partnerships aim to enhance industrial performance and support local manufacturing by providing high-performance, locally manufactured grease solutions as part of a portfolio of 520 products that address the needs of partners and clients in the automotive, industrial, and specialty products sectors.
- Americana Restaurants announced a strategic partnership with ADNOC Distribution to open up to 200 quick service restaurants across 12 brands at ADNOC stations in the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt.
- The company’s shareholders approved an interim cash dividend of 10.285 fils per share for H2 2025.
Average forecasts for Q2 2026
The company is forecast to generate a net profit of AED 1.007 billion, around 49% higher compared to Q2 2025, based on coverage by five research houses.
|
Research Firm |
Estimate (AED mln) |
|---|---|
|
Morgan Stanley |
1,250.0 |
|
Barclays |
1,184.0 |
|
Goldman Sachs |
1,000.0 |
|
First Abu Dhabi Securities |
842.0 |
|
United Securities |
762.0 |
|
Consensus Estimate |
1,007.6 |
|
Net profit before exceptional and non-recurring items (Q2 2025) |
676.7 |
|
Difference (%) |
+49% |
Share Performance
|
Metric |
Company |
Market |
|---|---|---|
|
Change YTD |
+3.33% |
(0.52%) |
|
Change (last 12 months) |
+8.33% |
(3.64%) |
|
Previous close |
4.03 |
9,940.83 |
|
Recurring P/E |
17.22x |
22.33x |
|
Recurring EPS (last 12 months) (fils/share) |
23.41 |
— |
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