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CBUAE sees positive outlook for UAE's lending activity in Q3 2026

Central Bank of the UAE building
A credit sentiment survey by the CBUAE indicated positive expectations for lending activity in the UAE during Q3 2026, amid anticipated growth in demand for financing and improved risk appetite among financial institutions, following sustained demand for credit in Q2..
The quarterly survey is based on feedback from senior credit officers at banks and financial institutions providing financing in the country. It gauges current credit conditions and institutional expectations for the following quarter.
Corporate loans
Financial institutions expect a strong rebound in demand for corporate loans in Q3, with net demand expectations rising to 22.7%. These forecasts point to a recovery in demand across all company segments, with the largest improvement expected among small and medium-sized enterprises, followed by large corporates and government-related entities.
|
Expected demand for business loans in Q3 2026 (% of total) |
|
|
Company |
Net demand projection (%) |
|
Small and medium-sized enterprises |
22.2 % |
|
Large enterprises |
20.6 % |
|
Government-related entities |
18.7 % |
|
All companies |
22.7 % |
Financial institutions expect increased demand for loans across all economic sectors in Q3, with manufacturing, electricity, gas and water, as well as retail and wholesale trade, leading this improvement..
|
Expected demand for business loans by sector in Q3 2026 (% of total) |
|
|
Sector |
Net demand expectations (%) |
|
Manufacturing |
23.8 % |
|
Electricity, gas, and water |
22.4 % |
|
Wholesale and Retail Trade |
21.0 % |
|
Construction |
19.4 % |
|
Financials (excluding banks) |
14.9 % |
|
Transportation, Storage, and Telecoms |
14.5 % |
|
Real estate development |
11.5 % |
|
Mining and stone extraction |
6.2 % |
|
Other sectors |
18.5 % |
The survey results also indicated that working capital requirements and government-related spending continued to support demand for corporate financing, along with a lesser contribution from interest rates.
Financial institutions expect an improvement in corporate lending appetite during Q3, with net expectations for lending appetite rising to 7.5%.
|
Expectations for improved corporate lending appetite in Q3 (% of total) |
|
|
Company |
Net lending expectations (%) |
|
Small and medium enterprises |
11.8 % |
|
Large companies |
9.6 % |
|
All companies |
7.5 % |
Personal loans
Positive expectations also extend to the personal finance sector. The survey results indicate strong recovery in personal loan demand in Q3, with net demand expectations reaching 25.3%.
Demand is expected to increase across all categories of personal loans, with the highest anticipated rise in demand for credit cards, followed by housing loans and other personal loans.
|
Personal loan demand forecasts for Q3 2026 (% of total) |
|
|
Categories |
Net demand forecasts (%) |
|
Credit card |
31.6 % |
|
All households |
25.3 % |
|
Housing – owner-occupied |
23.6 % |
|
Housing – investment |
19.0 % |
|
Housing – other (including refinancing and renovations) |
18.7 % |
|
Car loan |
15.8 % |
|
Non-residential investment |
15.6 % |
|
Personal loans – other |
19.5 % |
Financial institutions also expect an improvement in personal lending appetite in the third quarter, with net lending appetite expectations rising to 13.3%. The improvement is expected across all personal finance categories, especially in credit cards and housing loans, where the greatest improvement in lending appetite is anticipated.
|
Expected improvement in appetite for granting personal loans during Q3 (% of total) |
|
|
Category |
Net expected lending (%) |
|
Housing – owner-occupied |
18.0 % |
|
Credit card |
16.7 % |
|
Housing – other (includes refinancing and renovations) |
13.8 % |
|
All households |
13.3 % |
|
Housing – investment |
11.6 % |
|
Car loan |
9.7 % |
|
Non-residential investment |
1.6 % |
|
Personal loans – others |
11.3 % |
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