صندوق النقد الدولي يرفع توقعاته لنمو الاقتصاد الإماراتي إلى 7.7% في عام 2027UAE flag

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its estimates for the UAE's GDP growth to 7.7% in 2027, compared to its previous April forecast of 5.3%.

In its October 2026 World Economic Outlook report, the IMF also revised the UAE’s 2026 GDP growth to 3.9% from a previous forecast of 3.1%.

The IMF noted that these forecasts come amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the region, which are impacting economic activity, supply chains, and trade.

 

IMF forecasts for UAE gross domestic product (GDP) growth (%)

Period

Previous forecasts

Current forecasts

Change

2026

3.1%

(3.9%)

(0.8 %)

2027

5.3%

7.7%

+2.4%
 
On inflation, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects that inflation in the UAE will rise to 4.5% in 2026, compared to 1.3% in 2025, before falling to 2.5% in 2027.

The IMF also forecasts the UAE’s current account surplus will drop to 4.8% of GDP this year, compared to 13.3% in 2025, before climbing to 7.8% in 2027.

Regionally, the IMF expects the Middle East and North Africa GDP to contract by 2 % in 2026, after growing by 3.3 % in 2025, with growth rebounding to 7 % in 2027.

The report said these forecasts assume the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in March 2027 and a general return to pre-war conditions by October of the same year, including the gradual resumption of production, shipments, insurance, and payment arrangements.

The IMF expects global economic growth to slow to 3.1% in 2026, from 3.5% in 2025, before accelerating to 3.4% in 2027, factoring in continued disruptions in energy markets.

According to available Argaam data, the Cabinet approved the general federal budget for 2027–2029, with total expenditures of AED 292.5 billion—an increase of 28.3% versus the previous three years—including estimated expenditures of AED 90.1 billion for 2027.

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