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Analyst forecasts & insights for MC4’s Q4 2025 results
AI Summary
Content Summary: 
In this report, Argaam highlights the expected results of Fourth Milling Co. (MC4) for the fourth quarter of 2025, its key events, quarterly profit and sales, as well as performance and profitability indicators.
The company’s revenue is forecast to rise 3.75% year-on-year (YoY) to SAR 173 million in Q4 2025.
Quarter Revenue Changes (M Riyal)
| Item | Q4 2024 |
Q1 2025 |
Q2 2025 |
Q3 2025 |
Q4 2025 (Average Estimate) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 166.74 | 170.14 | 140.60 | 169.03 | 173.00 |
| Change % | 13.12% | 2.77% | 2.78% | 5.69% | 3.75% |
Quarter Net Income Changes (M Riyal)
| Item | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 (Average Estimate) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income | 42.10 | 52.70 | 34.05 | 52.12 | 54.00 |
| Extraordinary income/expense | (5.74) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| Net Profit Before Unusual Items | 47.85 | 52.70 | 34.05 | 52.12 | - |
| EPS Before Unusual Items (Riyal/Share) | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
Key events in Q4 2025
MC4 signed a construction works agreement for its new flour mill and feed plant project in Al Kharj city, for SAR 51.5 million and with a contractual term of nearly eight months from the date the site is handed over to the contractor.
Quarterly Profit and Revenue (M Riyal)
Average estimates
MC4 net earnings are forecast to grow 12.9% to SAR 54 million in Q4 2025, from SAR 47.9 million (before one-off and non-recurring items) a year earlier, according to Riyad Capital's estimates.
Quarterly Actuals vs Estimates (M Riyal)
Average Estimate (M Riyal)
| Analyst | Million Riyals |
|---|---|
| Riyad Capital | 54.00 |
| Average | 54.00 |
| Net Profit Before Unusual Items (2024 - Q4) | 47.85 |
| Change % | 12.86% |
Performance and profitability indicators
The following table illustrates the stock performance, P/E and earnings per share trailing 12 months (TTM) and year to date:
Stock Performance
| Item | The Company | TASI |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 3.68 % | 6.30 % |
| Change(12M) | (14.29 %) | (10.08 %) |
| Previous Close | 3.61 | 11,195.45 |
| Recurring P/E (x) | 10.44 | 20.30 |
| EPS (TTM) before unusual items (SAR/Share) | 0.35 | - |
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Valuation Data (Latest Share Price)
| P/E (TTM) | 10.92 |
| P/E Before Unusual Items (TTM) | 10.59 |
| P/BV | 2.70 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.45 % |
| Market Cap. (M) | 1,976.40 |
| Return on Average Assets | 15.09 % |
| Return on Average Equity | 24.73 % |
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